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As fighting between Russia and Ukraine intensifies, attention has been focused on the global community and its responses to the war. A sense of European weakness in the face of Russia鈥檚 aggression and concern for the future of other former members of the Soviet empire鈥攎ost notably the Baltics鈥攈as grown. In this event, we considered European perspectives and responses to the war and how EU鈥檚 most vulnerable Eastern European members can protect themselves.

Selected Quotes

Marie Mendras

鈥淭here is a crisis of the Russian system of power. There is a huge problem with Vladimir Putin. But, our arguments could not be heard properly because of loaded interests and games鈥攑olitical, economic, and industrial games鈥� in most of our countries. And also, because most of the experts and politicians, were really stuck with an obsolete paradigm of what Russia鈥檚 foreign and defense policies were. And so, what I hope is that in a few weeks, when we have a little more time, we are not overwhelmed by the emergency situation. That we don鈥檛 forget what we鈥檝e been going through, we don鈥檛 forget the misjudgments, the indulgence, benevolence towards Putin and that we actually start working on a new, more serious basis of international security and how we deal with the security of the in-between states鈥攖he states that are stuck between Putin鈥檚 system and Europe."

鈥淣ow he [Emmanuel Macron] has the right analysis, Putin is the threat. His regime is the threat and Ukraine, Georgia, Moldova, Belarus鈥� when they get rid of the dictator. Will be in the same security space as all other European countries. And tonight, Emmanuel Macron will be declaring his candidacy and in fact, I will be commenting after this on television. And I am now absolutely sure that he is capable of understanding what went wrong and going for a policy that is both short-term, medium-term, and long-term. This is the most important. We鈥檝e never had the right timeline in our policies. And also, even more important, Emmanual Macron and his government鈥攁nd most of the political class in France鈥攗nderstand that is no reason to go for a national policy in France. We have to go European, NATO, Transatlantic, and the UN. This is what he鈥檚 working on鈥� but in the meantime, the Ukrainians are the victims.鈥�

Andrew Monaghan

"Of course strategy, as everyone knows in every country and throughout history, strategy is difficult and complicated and the Russian military leadership has faced typical problems. Not only in terms of trying to understand and cope with the adversary in a difficult international environment but also within its own system. Because strategy really is about coordinating your own orchestra or conducting your own orchestra and the Russian policy landscape is very rarely harmonious. And as I think we鈥檙e seeing today, there鈥檚 been an extended problem of practice about how do you manage command and control? This is a permanent feature of Russian military history."

鈥淭his is a question of a Russia challenge and how we deal with this. It is in the era of global power competition. I would observe that we started talking about great power competition in 2017. The Russian leadership explicitly came to this conclusion in 2007鈥攊f not a year or two before鈥攊mplicitly. But we are in an era of global power competition and I think this concept challenges us to think of bigger terms beyond the immediate future. For the last how many months, we have been thinking in term of imminence鈥� We鈥檝e been thinking imminence all the time. We might even say that the raising of the nuclear weapon suddenly meant that futures is not something that we do, but that we must indeed be doing, quite to the contrary, thinking through foresight. 鈥�

Andrius Kubilius

"With delivery of weapons, with sanctions, with everything else, it鈥檚 really something which we were not able to expect and that is what really shows for me鈥� what we鈥檙e seeing in some type of metaphorical way, that this war will change the whole world. So really, I see that Russia will be different, Ukraine will be different, and the EU will be different, after the war.鈥�

鈥淭he EU provided 1.2 billion in financial assistance immediately, last week we voted鈥� And now we are speaking about the creation of a virtual fund, which will be called the 'Free Ukraine Fund鈥�' We are looking for the fund which will assist Ukraine to rebuild, to restore the economy, after the war will be finished, to restore also its infrastructure.鈥� 

鈥淭hose sanctions are quite heavy as you know. It is again, it鈥檚 amazing that the EU was able to agree quite rapidly, part of sanctions that were prepared before. There were those sanctions which were agreed between Americans, with Canadians, with the British, and which were used to try to convince Putin not to go into the War. But you know, when the war started, the sanctions were applied and then some other sanctions were added. Of course, the most painful sanctions were against the central bank and its reserves.鈥�

This event is part of the 浪花直播 Center's Hindsight Up Front | Ukraine initiative.

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